The Federal Aviation Administration’s recently released Aerospace Forecast for Fiscal Years 2025–2045 presents a detailed outlook for commercial launch and reentry operations, including robust projections that hint at transformative growth across the sector.
The FAA has adopted a ten-year horizon for this forecast—a significant expansion beyond previous five-year forecasts—aimed at providing clearer insights for both government and industry planning.
The projections encompass all FAA-approved commercial space operations, regardless of location, and span a broad spectrum of emerging market activities: satellite deployment and replacement, in-orbit servicing, assembly and manufacturing (ISAM), lunar missions, Mars exploration, and space tourism.
Within the high-case scenario, the forecast anticipates a jump from approximately 183 operations in FY 2025 to as many as 566 operations by FY 2034. In total, this scenario projects 4,010 authorized space operations over the 10-year period.
20250811: New Space Economy.
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